Published October 29, 2026 in Market Update

North Chico stayed tight even with rates above 7%

By Willoughby Thorn
Real estate, Primary buy box (Chico)

These numbers cover the three months ending August 31, 2026. Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed rate at 7.32% as of October 22, 2026. That is the highest it has been since early 2025, according to Realtor.com. Yet one part of Chico barely flinched.

The tightest corner of Chico: ZIP 95973

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 2.2 months of supply in ZIP 95973 for the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is down 0.4 months from the same period a year before. Less supply with more buyers means sellers hold more ground.

Months of supply in 95973
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator put the median sale price in ZIP 95973 at $553,430. That is up 8.6% from the same three months in 2025. Nationally, the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose just 2.4% over the same stretch. North Chico ran well ahead of that.

ZIP 95973 at a glance, three months ending August 31, 2026
Median sale price
Up 8.6% from a year before
Homes sold
Up 9.5% from a year before
Months of supply
Down 0.4 months from a year before
Sale to list price
Up 0.4 points from a year before
Median days on market
4 days longer than a year before
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Homes in 95973 sold for 99.7% of list price on average, the Real Estate Data Aggregator found. That is up 0.4 points from a year before. Sellers are not giving much away. Homes did take 4 days longer to sell than last year, so not every home moved fast.

How the other two ZIP codes compare

The picture shifts when you move to the other parts of Chico. ZIP 95926 and ZIP 95928 each had more supply and different price trends.

Three ZIP codes side by side, three months ending August 31, 2026
959739592695928
Median sale price$553,430$438,000$490,000
Price change vs. year beforeup 8.6%down 8.7%up 2.4%
Months of supply2.22.93.9
Median days on market382729
Sale to list price99.7%99.4%98.5%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026. Lower months of supply and higher sale-to-list favor sellers. Shorter days on market favors sellers on speed.

ZIP 95926 saw its median sale price fall 8.7%, the Real Estate Data Aggregator found. That is a real dip. But homes there sold in just 27 days, 9 days faster than a year before. And more than half, 51.1%, went under contract within two weeks of listing.

ZIP 95928 had 3.9 months of supply, the most of the three. Homes sold in 29 days, also 9 days faster than last year. Sales volume dropped 18.9% from a year before, the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted. More supply and fewer sales means buyers have a bit more room there.

Speed: who went under contract fast

Share of homes under contract within two weeks of listing
95926 – Chico, CA51.1%95928 – Chico, CA46.1%95973 – Chico, CA34.8%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026. More than half of homes in 95926 went under contract within two weeks.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator found that 34.8% of homes in 95973 went under contract within two weeks. That is down 8.5 points from a year before. Even so, about 1 in 3 homes still moved that fast with rates above 7%.

Rates and the wider picture

Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed rate at 7.32% as of October 22, 2026. The 15-year fixed averaged 6.68% that same week. CNBC reported the average contract rate on conforming 30-year loans at 7.37% as of October 28, 2026.

Nationally, Realtor.com reported that price cuts hit 20.8% of listings in September 2026. That is the highest share since October 2022. Chico's tightest ZIP did not follow that pattern. The Real Estate Data Aggregator showed 95973 prices rising, not falling.

CNBC also reported that mortgage applications to purchase a home rose 4% for the week ending October 28, 2026. Buyers are still moving, even with rates where they are.

Chico market combined, three months ending August 31, 2026
Homes sold (all three ZIPs)
Up 1.1% from a year before
Homes for sale (all three ZIPs)
Up 2.9% from a year before
New listings (all three ZIPs)
Unchanged from a year before
Pending sales (all three ZIPs)
Down 8.9% from a year before
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Pending sales across all three ZIPs fell 8.9% from a year before, the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted. That is worth watching. Fewer homes going under contract now can mean fewer closings ahead.

In short
  1. ZIP 95973 held tight: 2.2 months of supply, prices up 8.6%, and homes selling at 99.7% of list.
  2. ZIP 95926 moved fastest, with half of homes under contract in two weeks.
  3. ZIP 95928 had the most supply and the softest sales volume.
  4. All of this is from the three months ending August 31, 2026.

One street can read very differently from the ZIP code around it. A home near the edge of 95973 may feel more like 95926, or the other way around. The numbers above are a starting point, not the whole story for your address.

Your next step

(415) 497-5414

Text me your address and I will send back where your Chico home sits against the 104 homes that actually sold in 95973, or the 91 in 95926, during the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from
Willoughby Thorn
Willoughby & Alan Coldwell Banker Select Real Estate · (415) 497-5414 · Willoughby@willoughbyandalan.com
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Willoughby Thorn is a licensed real estate agent with Willoughby & Alan Coldwell Banker Select Real Estate, license #DRE: 00904278. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
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